AI Overview
Forecasts and reports published throughout the fall of 2025 indicate that
New York State experienced an unseasonably warm October, especially during the early part of the month. This contributed to an overall warmer-than-average start to the autumn season for the region.
Forecasts of the warmer autumn
National Weather Service (NWS): The NWS Climate Prediction Center issued outlooks stating that New York had a 50–60% likelihood of experiencing above-average temperatures for October, a higher probability than the 40–50% chance forecasted earlier.
AccuWeather: Prior to October, AccuWeather long-range forecasters predicted that states on the East Coast, including New York, would experience a prolonged period of summer heat and humidity into September and October.
The Old Farmer's Almanac: Its forecast suggested a milder and drier fall for New York.
FOX 5 NY: A broadcast from early October 2025 confirmed that the month was starting out mild and slightly dry.
Evidence and impacts of the warmer weather
Significant heat spell: Early in October, an unseasonably warm spell pushed temperatures close to or above record highs. For example, temperatures in Syracuse reached 83°F on October 6, nearly 20 degrees above average.
Normal fall weather returns: Temperatures eventually shifted to more typical autumn conditions by the second week of October.
Delayed foliage: The warmer temperatures and dry weather delayed the start of fall foliage, which was expected to be less vibrant than usual.
Severe storms: The unseasonable heat and humidity were cited as contributing factors for intense storms. In mid-October, a powerful nor'easter brought heavy rain, flooding, and wind to New York City, Long Island, and Westchester County, prompting a state of emergency declaration.
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By
AK440 ·
