Don't forget... thanks Obama

[Anler]

16 minutes ago, Rod Johnson said:

He's a billionaire who became the president for funzies. That's badass.  

Right, badass. Obama was a negro who became president for the funzies. Thats bad ass. See how that works? 

[AKIQPilot]

1 hour ago, Snoslinger said:

enjoy it while you can. many americans are slow learners. thanks to trump, and some of the other repukes who want to inflict damage on many, those numbers will soon be changing. starting a year and a half from now.

oh but wait, we had the WVA gov, disguised as a dem, and a friend of trump, jump ship the other night. woo hoo!

 

 

You can hope in one hand and shit in the other and then see which one fills up first.  Your party has aligned itself with the fringe.  Your party stands for gender equality, all 53 of them,  coddling illegals, taking from working americans and giving to those capable but unwilling to work, black lives matter, etc, etc.  Take a look at your party's leaders.  Old out of touch women, and a few men, who were worthless the day they were first elected and have become moreso since.  

You might get a few wins next election.  With Trump being such a retard you should expect to pick up a few seats just because of him but you won't pick up seats based on the message of your party.  You have historically been a fairly moderate slightly left leaning guy.  There is no way you can be happy the direction your party has been headed the last decade or so.  

[Dave]

54 minutes ago, AKIQPilot said:

You can hope in one hand and shit in the other and then see which one fills up first.  Your party has aligned itself with the fringe.  Your party stands for gender equality, all 53 of them,  coddling illegals, taking from working americans and giving to those capable but unwilling to work, black lives matter, etc, etc.  Take a look at your party's leaders.  Old out of touch women, and a few men, who were worthless the day they were first elected and have become moreso since.  

You might get a few wins next election.  With Trump being such a retard you should expect to pick up a few seats just because of him but you won't pick up seats based on the message of your party.  You have historically been a fairly moderate slightly left leaning guy.  There is no way you can be happy the direction your party has been headed the last decade or so.  

The libs on this site keep throwing Trumps poll #s around but yet dems poll #s are even lower.

[Momorider]

1 minute ago, FAT DAVE said:

The libs on this site keep throwing Trumps poll #s around but yet dems poll #s are even lower.

Those polls are BS just like the ones leading up to the election they only poll DemonCUNTS 

[AKIQPilot]

2 minutes ago, FAT DAVE said:

The libs on this site keep throwing Trumps poll #s around but yet dems poll #s are even lower.

They should be thankful that Trump is such a dipshit.  If he were a half decent president then they chances in 2018 would be worse.  

[Highmark]

1 hour ago, Anler said:

Right, badass. Obama was a negro who became president for the funzies. Thats bad ass. See how that works? 

Obama's a African American?  Do we officially go by the 50% rule for determining someone's race?   

[XCR1250]

3 hours ago, Carlos Danger said:

The Dems have done themselves in over the last dozen years or so. You give the Repubs to much credit especially at the Federal level. 

1 no clear message or agenda

2 corporate whoring for money 

3 bad leadership choices

4 alienating their traditional base.

If you are a working middle of America white guy you have to be mildly retarded to vote for a Dem.

You forgot same sex bathrooms and queers.

[JEFF]

Until the dems get back to representing the middle class they're done. You're not going to get very far catering to the 58 different genders and illegal immigrants they bow to now.

[AKIQPilot]

Why didn't slinger respond to this thread again.  Very unusual.  

[Dave]

2 minutes ago, AKIQPilot said:

Why didn't slinger respond to this thread again.  Very unusual.  

They did.

You ok Tom?

[Zambroski]

I mean, the desperation from the left is getting pretty, ummmm....desperate.

...but they all refuse to look at their party being a complete clown show and demand change!!!  Poor Russia.

 

[Ez ryder]

9 hours ago, Anler said:

Right, badass. Obama was a negro who became president for the funzies. Thats bad ass. See how that works? 

no Obama had his life planed around politics  

[DriftBusta]

9 hours ago, Anler said:

neither one of those parties gives a shit about the middle class. Everything they have done in the last 40 years has been to spite the middle class. 

So isn't that an argument for Trump?

9 hours ago, Anler said:

He looks like an idiot so far. Why are his appointments quitting and getting fired so frequently? And he tweets like a teenage girl. Thats some idol you have there. 

True, but he's on our side.  Not all his appointments are quitting.  And wgaf if he eventually finds the right fit

9 hours ago, Snake said:

All the signs suggest that 2018 is going to be a very good year for Democrats.

Midterm elections are historically terrible for the president's party. In 18 of the last 20 midterm elections, the president's party has lost seats. In those 18 elections, the average seat loss is 33. Those numbers are even more daunting for presidents under 50% job approval -- as Donald Trump is right now. Since 1946, the average seat loss in the House in that situation is 36 seats.

 

States up for re-election -- Blue: Democratic. Red: Republican. Yellow: Independent.

But before Democrats get too delirious about the election to come, they should read this paragraph from David Wasserman's terrific analysis of the 2018 election on FiveThirtyEight:

"Even if Democrats were to win every single 2018 House and Senate race for seats representing places that Hillary Clinton won or that Trump won by less than 3 percentage points — a pretty good midterm by historical standards — they could still fall short of the House majority and lose five Senate seats."

That's absolutely stunning. And reflective of the advantages Republicans have going into 2018 -- one, in the House, built on having largely controlled the 2010 redistricting process, and the other, in the Senate, based on how great the 2006 and 2012 elections were for Democrats.

 

In the House, there are 23 districts currently held by a Republican that Hillary Clinton won in 2016. (There are 12 seats held by Democrats that Trump won.) Of those 23, just eight went for Barack Obama over Mitt Romney in 2012 as well.

Even so, if Democrats won all 23 of the seats Clinton carried that are represented by Republicans -- and lost NONE of the dozen seats Trump won that are held by Democrats -- the party still comes up a seat short of the majority.

 

Republicans, quite simply, did a very good job in drawing the congressional lines in states where they controlled the entire process after the 2010 census. Large populations of Democrats are, as Wasserman notes, packed into urban districts while Republican voters are more spread out among suburban and rural seats.

 

That reality, coupled with the fact that political tribalism is on the rise, means that there are just far fewer chances for Democrats to make gains than there were a decade or two ago. (In 1996, there were 108 "crossover" districts where the member of Congress was from a different party than the presidential candidate who carried the seat.)

 

A good midterm election wouldn't be enough to switch control of the House. Democrats would need a great one. Which is possible -- especially given Trump's dismal approval ratings and the lack of legislative accomplishments for Congress -- but never a certainty.

On the Senate side, where redistricting isn't a factor, Democrats are a victim of their own successes. Democrats won six Republican seats in the 2006 election. In 2012, Democrats picked up two more seats -- if you include Maine Sen. Angus King, an independent who caucuses with Democrats. And I do.

 

That embarrassment of political riches means that in 2018 there are a whopping 25 Democratic seats up as compared to a meager eight for Republicans. In other words, 52% of all the seats Democrats control are up in 2018 while just 15% of Republicans' seats are up.

And it's not just the raw numbers. It's where these seats are. Ten of the 25 (40%) are in states Trump won in 2016. TEN.

 

Five of those 10 -- North Dakota, Missouri, Montana, West Virginia and Indiana -- are states Trump carried by double digits. By contrast, only one Republican up for reelection -- Dean Heller of Nevada -- represents a state that Clinton won last November. Only one other Republican-held state -- Arizona -- was even marginally competitive in the presidential contest. (Trump won Arizona by 3.5 points.)

 

In short: The political environment is looking very, very good for Democrats. But the math is unchanging -- and bad -- for them.

History suggests that political environments can sometimes overwhelm raw numbers. But, for that to happen you need a gale-force wind blowing in one direction. And that is a very rare thing.

Read that a couple times Slinger, then realize just how dumb you sound.

[AKIQPilot]

6 hours ago, FAT DAVE said:

They did.

You ok Tom?

I said why didn't he reply AGAIN. As in where did he run off too.  Slinger made some bold predictions.  They were rebuffed by several posters. He decides not to reengage. Very unusual for him to act this way.  

[Guest]

do you canadians like it up there? Seriously. I just got my passport last year for the first time. I'm thinking of the parry sound/Georgian bay area, to go look for a waterfront place. the usa sucks. OK, maybe it's just me that doesn't like it, but that's what I think. The people suck here. we have too many people, and too many punk bastards. I'm in a good town, I can't imagine how people in a shit city feel. it must be a horror-show for them. I went to new brunswick/ nova scotia many years ago. it was a different world, the people were real decent, not like these fucktards around here. Before you tell me to GTFO, I'll meet you at the registry of deeds, bring your checkbook, I'll sign off. 

[awful knawful]

1 hour ago, polaris550 said:

do you canadians like it up there? Seriously. I just got my passport last year for the first time. I'm thinking of the parry sound/Georgian bay area, to go look for a waterfront place. the usa sucks. OK, maybe it's just me that doesn't like it, but that's what I think. The people suck here. we have too many people, and too many punk bastards. I'm in a good town, I can't imagine how people in a shit city feel. it must be a horror-show for them. I went to new brunswick/ nova scotia many years ago. it was a different world, the people were real decent, not like these fucktards around here. Before you tell me to GTFO, I'll meet you at the registry of deeds, bring your checkbook, I'll sign off. 

I'm from New Brunswick! Thanks for the kind words......buddy!!

[awful knawful]

And we already have Momo. No need for another retard in ontario!

[Dave]

7 hours ago, AKIQPilot said:

I said why didn't he reply AGAIN. As in where did he run off too.  Slinger made some bold predictions.  They were rebuffed by several posters. He decides not to reengage. Very unusual for him to act this way.  

I read it wrong.

[Momorider]

3 hours ago, awful knawful said:

And we already have Momo. No need for another retard in ontario!

Sodomite posts what?