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The economy is fucked.


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GDP was down 50% prior to the virus 

We had 3 straight quarters of contraction in the manufacturing sector prior to the virus

The Fed was slashing rates and expanding its balance sheet prior to the virus

The fed was injecting massive amounts of liquidity to stabilize a collapsing financial system prior to the virus

 

These are all fucking facts and Trump ball garglers don’t get to just white wash them with their great white virus of convenience 

 

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11 minutes ago, f7ben said:

GDP was down 50% prior to the virus 

We had 3 straight quarters of contraction in the manufacturing sector prior to the virus

The Fed was slashing rates and expanding its balance sheet prior to the virus

The fed was injecting massive amounts of liquidity to stabilize a collapsing financial system prior to the virus

 

These are all fucking facts and Trump ball garglers don’t get to just white wash them with their great white virus of convenience 

 

Using the same logic of why the stock market is pumping with the world imploding around us. bankrupties lining up left and right and approaching 30 million unemployed, etc... None of this shit is fundamentally sound. 

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18 minutes ago, DriftBusta said:

I have data that contradicts some of that.  My point was Ben said gdp was sinking fast and we were in a manufacturing recession.  But sure, give that a pass and just challenge me.

 

and?

 Q4 GDP was revised down to 2.1% do you dispute that?  Auto sales were down and that is a major source of manufacturing, because of the length of time I guess you could say it wasn't a recession, but it sure wasn't setting the world on fire, if it were GDP would be revised up not down.

 

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38 minutes ago, Im4snow said:

Link? 

Good god man....what’s 4.2 to 2.1 give you

Also that 2.1 was entirely made up of the exact amount the fed expanded the balance sheet for Q4 so technically GDP was fucking zero

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4 hours ago, BOHICA said:

You should look at maybe a career in law enforcement...  They take dull normal individuals like you.   You also got a jump start on a career as a cop as you got the blow hard part down just perfect for being a cop!!!

I was a cop, and I bet I have a higher IQ than you have, and I bet I can buy and sell you. Just sayin'. 

3 hours ago, Anler said:

I could lose 95% of my Fidelity account, and still live comfortably for years. 

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1 minute ago, Polaris 550 said:

I was a cop, and I bet I have a higher IQ than you have, and I bet I can buy and sell you. Just sayin'. 

I could lose 95% of my Fidelity account, and still live comfortably for years. 

You don’t hold a candle to me gramps.  You are a broke joke that is fucking scared of going out cause you are one of those old people that don’t have good odds on surviving.

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5 minutes ago, Polaris 550 said:

I was a cop, and I bet I have a higher IQ than you have, and I bet I can buy and sell you. Just sayin'. 

I could lose 95% of my Fidelity account, and still live comfortably for years. 

But you won't, you'll die and the govt will get your money!

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1 hour ago, f7ben said:

Good god man....what’s 4.2 to 2.1 give you

Also that 2.1 was entirely made up of the exact amount the fed expanded the balance sheet for Q4 so technically GDP was fucking zero

They're nominal GDP growth rates bolded above.  Entirely different than saying "GDP was down 50%".  Just cleaning up the sensationalism and fake news.  

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1 minute ago, Im4snow said:

They're nominal GDP growth rates bolded above.  Entirely different than saying "GDP was down 50%".  Just cleaning up the sensationalism and fake news.  

Yes....growth was down 50%....I assumed that was inferred and understood.

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34 minutes ago, Polaris 550 said:

Why don't all you economics geniuses post your TNW, so we can all see how big you REALLY are.   

My public equities are down about 4% YTD, while private (REITs) haven't skipped a beat.

:bc:

30 minutes ago, Anler said:

But you won't, you'll die and the govt will get your money!

Yup.

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1 hour ago, Polaris 550 said:

Why don't all you economics geniuses post your TNW, so we can all see how big you REALLY are.   

You first !!!

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1 hour ago, Polaris 550 said:

I was a cop, and I bet I have a higher IQ than you have, and I bet I can buy and sell you. Just sayin'. 

I could lose 95% of my Fidelity account, and still live comfortably for years. 

Lmmfao , yeah ok

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3 hours ago, BOHICA said:

You don’t hold a candle to me gramps.  You are a broke joke that is fucking scared of going out cause you are one of those old people that don’t have good odds on surviving.

Go to PM, if your ass can cash the checks your mouth writes. 

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17 hours ago, Anler said:

And how many trillions were lent to the repo markets since sept of last year? Was that a measure of great success and financial excellence? 

I don't think so.

17 hours ago, DriftBusta said:

The growth was tepid until Trump got in and announced his stimulus.  You guys keep arguing that giving tax breaks during times like this is wrong, and thats an opinion held by some.  Its not held by all.  See Art Laffer.   But Trump gave the middle class a well needed break and lower rates stimulated the business community.  The economy took off and tax revenues increased.  Have an opinion fine, but quit acting like your opinions are facts. 

Trump stepped into a tailwind economy, growth started in 2009 and we know this as it's a fact, below shows the delta between 2009 and June 2016.

Trump gets sworn in 01/17 and we get a tax cut that really helped out the truly wealthy (people with fuck you money), was a bump for the upper middle class and was a trickle for the working class, and all the while he exploded the nation's debt which has only been exacerbated by the pandemic, Trump has left a pile of debt that future admins and working people will have to pay for.

Fred left the Donald with $450M, which he proceeded to invest in casinos which eventually went BK, Donald inherited a tailwind from Fred and from the country, the results have not been good by any measure.

The tax revenue increase, yes from the tariffs which all Americans paid for especially those on the lower economic rung of the ladder.

 

Quote

 

Consider the following:

  • Since the 4th quarter of the 2008, America's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) stood at $14.2 trillion. GDP is $18.2 trillion today.
  • Unemployment has fallen from a recession peak of 10 percent to 5 percent today.
  • The stock market has tripled since its 2009 low.
  • Oil and gas prices are one-half to one-third of their peak prices in 2008.
  • Median and average home prices are now above their 2007 peak at $321,100 and $379,800, respectively.
  • Household net worth hit $86.8 trillion in the fourth quarter of 2015, well above the 2007 peak of $66.5 trillion.
  • https://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/02/mitch-mcconnell-is-wrong-about-the-economy-commentary.html

 

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