XCR1250 Posted July 27, 2022 Share Posted July 27, 2022 No, we're not in a recession, Biden administration tells U.S. voters Trevor Hunnicutt Tue, July 26, 2022 at 2:48 PM By Trevor Hunnicutt WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. economy is plagued by inflation and suffering from fallout from Russia's war in Ukraine - but it's not in recession. That's the message from White House officials. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, economic adviser Brian Deese and Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo have spoken out in recent days ahead of data on Thursday that may show that gross domestic product (GDP) shrank from April to June. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's GDP forecast suggests a 1.6% decline. That would mark the second quarter of GDP decline in a row. While a broad rule of thumb holds that two consecutive quarters of GDP drops signal a recession, the strong U.S. job market means this may be the rare moment when that is not enough for economists to declare the world's largest economy in recession. The White House pushback against recession talk is about more than semantics. Talking about recession can become a self-fulfilling prophecy as businesses and consumers, concerned that tougher times are ahead, cut back on spending and investment plans. The economy is top of mind for many voters ahead of the Nov. 8 midterm elections that will decide whether President Joe Biden's Democratic Party retains control of Congress. "We're not going to be in a recession," Biden himself told reporters on Monday. "My hope is we go from this rapid growth to a steady growth." Even so, a GDP contraction would likely exacerbate fears that the United States is headed for or in the midst of an economic pullback and worry voters already struggling with higher grocery and gas bills. White House officials believe the GDP weakness is due to one-off factors, including a decline in companies restocking inventories, that may not reflect broader trends. "We're seeing signs of slowing in the economy but slowing in a direction towards positive growth with lower inflation, consistent with the kind of transition that we'd like to see," said one senior administration official. Fighting 40-year-high inflation is central to Biden's strategy, which is broader than just one quarter of GDP, the official noted. The administration expects inflation, buoyed by energy and food shortages from the Russian invasion in Ukraine, to fall longer term as a result of its efforts to clear port backlogs, release oil from strategic reserves and rebuild critical infrastructure. Many private economists agree that the United States is not in recession - yet. But they see rising risks. They say climbing interest rates and softening housing data raise concerns. UPHILL BATTLE Since 1950, the United States has not experienced two consecutive quarters of GDP contraction that was not ultimately associated with a recession. But there has never been a recession declared without a loss of employment, and jobs are currently being added at a pace of hundreds of thousands monthly. The Republican Party has used high inflation and economic weaknesses to attack Biden's economic and spending priorities. The party has been scathing in its criticism of White House attempts to push back on recession talk. "In advance of the GDP numbers coming out later this week, the Biden administration has begun their latest project - a frantic effort to re-define the word 'recession,'" said U.S. Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell this week. "Their priority is telling everybody things aren’t as bad as they look or feel." Polling shows that the White House is fighting an uphill battle. A Morning Consult/Politico survey this month found that 65% of registered U.S. voters think the economy is already in a recession. Consumer sentiment has fallen among Democrats to the lowest level since Biden took office. Graphic: U.S. consumer sentiment by party affiliation U.S. consumer sentiment by party affiliation, https://graphics.reuters.com/USA-ECONOMY/SENTIMENT-POLITICS/znpneqjolvl/chart.png Biden's approval rating, meanwhile, has fallen back to a record low of 36%, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling. (Reporting by Trevor Hunnicutt; Editing by Heather Timmons and Cynthia Osterman) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Platinum Contributing Member Skidooski Posted July 27, 2022 Platinum Contributing Member Share Posted July 27, 2022 They are scrambling to redefine what it means to go into a recession Speaks volumes 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
racer254 Posted July 27, 2022 Share Posted July 27, 2022 Yeah, we have liberals in charge. Everything is rainbows and unicorns. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Platinum Contributing Member Highmark Posted July 27, 2022 Platinum Contributing Member Share Posted July 27, 2022 They want to rewrite the definition of what a recession is like Carter rewrote the metrics that measure inflation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
teamgreen02 Posted July 27, 2022 Share Posted July 27, 2022 With the administration in the last week trying to redefine what a recession is, that means they have seen the data and know we are already in one if real GDP was down in Q2. They just haven't released the official number yet, I believe those come out tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gold Member EvilBird Posted July 27, 2022 Gold Member Share Posted July 27, 2022 Dont make things up Guys Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doug Posted July 27, 2022 Share Posted July 27, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rod Posted July 27, 2022 Share Posted July 27, 2022 Biden reads speeches written by someone else. He fumbles through the words and doesn’t comprehend what he’s reading. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Platinum Contributing Member Skidooski Posted July 27, 2022 Platinum Contributing Member Share Posted July 27, 2022 8 minutes ago, ACE said: Biden reads speeches written by someone else. He fumbles through the words and doesn’t comprehend what he’s reading. No amount of speech writers will fix that. He's just that bad of a mush brain Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rod Posted July 27, 2022 Share Posted July 27, 2022 6 minutes ago, Skidooski said: No amount of speech writers will fix that. He's just that bad of a mush brain He never was very smart and now he’s clearly decaying 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Platinum Contributing Member Skidooski Posted July 27, 2022 Platinum Contributing Member Share Posted July 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, ACE said: He never was very smart and now he’s clearly decaying Yep a born idiot in serious mental decline isn't a pretty thing to see. Usually they are in nursing homes at this point SMH 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold War Posted July 27, 2022 Share Posted July 27, 2022 ABC news: Biden takes victory lap around rose garden today. tough old bastard! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Platinum Contributing Member Skidooski Posted July 27, 2022 Platinum Contributing Member Share Posted July 27, 2022 16 minutes ago, Cold War said: ABC news: Biden takes victory lap around rose garden today. tough old bastard! Victory from what making it to the toilet in time and not in his pants? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Platinum Contributing Member Skidooski Posted July 27, 2022 Platinum Contributing Member Share Posted July 27, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold War Posted July 27, 2022 Share Posted July 27, 2022 11 minutes ago, Skidooski said: Victory from what making it to the toilet in time and not in his pants? I doubt he accomplished that. more than likely he escaped and was wandering aimlessly around the grounds It was your turn to watch him!!! I put him in the kiddie corral!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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