Mainecat 4,374 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 I’m just gonna leave this right here... he’s toast. https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2019/08/31/politics/trump-democrat-matchups-analysis/index.html Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ACE 9,607 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 Is it by the 16 points that Hillary was supposed to win by? Maybe that’s where they went 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Anler 12,087 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 They said that last time too... Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Mainecat 4,374 Posted August 31, 2019 Author Share Posted August 31, 2019 2 minutes ago, Anler said: They said that last time too... He polls lower than Harris. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Anler 12,087 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 3 minutes ago, Mainecat said: He polls lower than Harris. Keep thinking that. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ACE 9,607 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 3 minutes ago, Anler said: Keep thinking that. The “we got this easy” play is a stupid one right now. Didn’t work last time either Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Rw06GT 202 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 Responses are reported for 1,422 self-identified registered voters with a margin of sampling error of +/- 3.1 percentage points, including the design effect. The survey includes 648 Democratic or Democratic leaning voters with a margin of sampling error of +/- 4.6 percentage points. Margins of sampling error for subgroups are available upon request. 2 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
spin_dry 4,185 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 (edited) 1 hour ago, Rapid Anus said: Is it by the 16 points that Hillary was supposed to win by? Maybe that’s where they went She was to win by 1-2% points. Which she did. Edited August 31, 2019 by spin_dry Quote Link to post Share on other sites
jtssrx 4,080 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 1 hour ago, Mainecat said: I’m just gonna leave this right here... he’s toast. https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2019/08/31/politics/trump-democrat-matchups-analysis/index.html Every poll had him losing to Hillary too 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
jtssrx 4,080 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 1 minute ago, spin_dry said: She was to win by 1-2% points. Which she did. Ha ha ha ha ha ha. It was supposed to be a land slide win. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
spin_dry 4,185 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 6 minutes ago, jtssrx said: Ha ha ha ha ha ha. It was supposed to be a land slide win. Average polling had Hillary up 3.2%. She won by 2.1%. Well within the margin of error. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Cold War 6,675 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 Yeah, ok. so dumb. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ACE 9,607 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 34 minutes ago, spin_dry said: She was to win by 1-2% points. Which she did. Hillary +16 it’s all over!!!! 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Mainecat 4,374 Posted August 31, 2019 Author Share Posted August 31, 2019 (edited) Clinton won. The polls were correct. Trump lags by HISTORIC MARGINS. Still, it's worth pointing out the historically bad position Trump is in. No incumbent president has ever polled this poorly against his likely challengers at this point in the campaign. Edited August 31, 2019 by Mainecat Quote Link to post Share on other sites
spin_dry 4,185 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 Polls were well within the margin of error. Just like now Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ACE 9,607 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 98.2% chance Hillary with 323 electoral votes https://m.huffpost.com/us/entry/us_5821074ce4b0e80b02cc2a94/amp 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Platinum Contributing Member Skidooski 16,854 Posted August 31, 2019 Platinum Contributing Member Share Posted August 31, 2019 Good grief the Dems are going to repeat 2016 How long until you start talking Vegas Odds SMH 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Zambroski 24,075 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 3 hours ago, Rw06GT said: Responses are reported for 1,422 self-identified registered voters with a margin of sampling error of +/- 3.1 percentage points, including the design effect. The survey includes 648 Democratic or Democratic leaning voters with a margin of sampling error of +/- 4.6 percentage points. Margins of sampling error for subgroups are available upon request. Lol...even the voters are trolling the pollsters. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Mainecat 4,374 Posted August 31, 2019 Author Share Posted August 31, 2019 HISTORICALLY WIDE MARGIN Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Zambroski 24,075 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 2 minutes ago, Mainecat said: HISTORICALLY WIDE MARGIN ”Historically”. From yesterday or.... 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
XCR1250 4,791 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 6 minutes ago, Mainecat said: HISTORICALLY WIDE MARGIN The HuffPost presidential forecast model gives Democrat Hillary Clinton a 98.2 percent chance of winning the presidency. Republican Donald Trump has essentially no path to an Electoral College victory. Clinton’s win will be substantial, but not overwhelming. The model projects that she’ll garner 323 electoral votes to Trump’s 215. 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Angry ginger 8,008 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 4 minutes ago, XCR1250 said: The HuffPost presidential forecast model gives Democrat Hillary Clinton a 98.2 percent chance of winning the presidency. Republican Donald Trump has essentially no path to an Electoral College victory. Clinton’s win will be substantial, but not overwhelming. The model projects that she’ll garner 323 electoral votes to Trump’s 215. cumulative 200k voted the other way in a handful of states and he would have lost. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
jtssrx 4,080 Posted August 31, 2019 Share Posted August 31, 2019 3 hours ago, spin_dry said: Average polling had Hillary up 3.2%. She won by 2.1%. Well within the margin of error. Dude for fucking high Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Platinum Contributing Member Skidooski 16,854 Posted August 31, 2019 Platinum Contributing Member Share Posted August 31, 2019 1 hour ago, Mainecat said: HISTORICALLY WIDE MARGIN You’ve been historically wrong a lot 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
steve from amherst 15,066 Posted September 1, 2019 Share Posted September 1, 2019 4 hours ago, Cold War said: Yeah, ok. so dumb. Who ended up winning the dem primary in Mich? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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