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Republicans needed a midterms miracle. Could Brett Kavanaugh be it?


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  • Platinum Contributing Member

Poor shitslinger. :lol:  

https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/04/politics/kavanaugh-midterms-republicans-2018/index.html

And yet, it appears as though the incredibly public and nasty fight over what Kavanaugh did or didn't do has had a somewhat unexpected result: Republican base voters are suddenly telling pollsters that they are considerably more enthusiastic about voting in 33 days' time.
In a new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll, Republicans had closed a 10-point enthusiasm deficit with Democrats in July, which is down to just 2 points now. In July, 78% of Democrats and 68% of Republicans said the November elections were "very important." Now, 80% of Democrats say the same while 78% of Republicans do too.
 
 
That same poll shows that the Democratic edge on the generic ballot question -- if the election were held today would you vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate in your district -- has been cut in half (from 12 points to 6) between mid-September and now.
A new Quinnipiac poll suggests a similar surge in Republican enthusiasm. In mid-September, Democrats had a 14-point lead in the generic ballot. That edge is now down to 7 points in a survey released earlier this week.
"The numbers suggest the big blue wave may have lost some of its momentum as House races tighten," concluded assistant director of the Q poll Tim Malloy.
It's not just public polling either. Glen Bolger, one of the very best Republican pollsters, tweeted this last week:
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  • Platinum Contributing Member

:pc: Keep telling yourself this didn't motivate the right.

https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/john-fund-in-kavanaugh-confirmation-fight-will-dems-be-hit-by-a-brett-boomerang-in-november

In North Dakota, GOP Rep. Kevin Cramer has opened up a 53 percent to 41 percent lead over Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp – up from just four points in the same Fox News poll last month.

In Missouri, the Fox News poll shows Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill tied with GOP state Attorney General Josh Hawley. In June, McCaskill had a four-point lead. Another new poll by the GOP group Missouri Rising Action gives Hawley an eight-point lead.

In Tennessee, where Republicans are defending an open seat, the latest Fox News poll shows GOP Rep. Marsha Blackburn opening up a lead over former Democratic Gov. Phil Bredesen.

Nate Silver, who analyzes polls for FiveThirtyEight.com, acknowledges that Republicans appear to be benefitting from the Kavanaugh fight. He writes: “In our Classic Senate forecast, for example, Republicans are now 77 percent favorites to hold the chamber, up from 68 percent before last week’s hearings.”

The reason for the greater enthusiasm of GOP voters to turn out can be explained by widespread anger at the unfair and outrageous tactics of the left in trying to block Kavanaugh’s Supreme Court confirmation. By shooting so low against Kavanaugh, Democrats may have actually shot themselves in the foot.
 
As the Wall Street Journal editorialized Thursday: “Republicans have figured out that if the left can willfully, even gleefully, destroy a man as distinguished as Brett Kavanaugh, they can and will do it to any conservative who threatens their grip on power.  ..Voters know this is about the left’s will to power by any means necessary.”

Of course, it would be ironic if the all-out assault against Brett Kavanaugh wound up helping Republicans solidify their control of the Senate, which in turn would make it easier for President Trump to fill yet another vacancy on the Supreme Court.

But politics is full of ironies. Democrats may discover they should have thought more carefully before they launched their scorched-earth offensive to keep Kavanaugh off the Supreme Court

Edited by Highmark
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1 minute ago, Mainecat said:

If Kavanaugh is voted in the repubs will go down in flames. It’s more motivation for the Dems to get out to vote.

Too bad you partisan Dems aren’t enough 

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1 minute ago, xtralettucetomatoe580 said:

Called it. They were playing a dangerous game amping up Repubs about Supreme Court choices... I can only imagine the shit Donald will fist fuck through if he gets both chambers again... He’s going to have three SC picks by 2020... 

But he will deal with a dem majority.

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1 minute ago, Mainecat said:

But he will deal with a dem majority.

Lol what’s the point of this thread? Are you fucking brain dead? The premise is simple. The Dems May have fucked themselves and won’t win both houses. Also, the R’s just need to hold the senate you doddering old dicksuck. 

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The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows that 50% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-nine percent (49%) disapprove. 

The latest figures include 37% who Strongly Approve of the way Trump is performing and 40% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -3. (see trends).

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_oct04

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  • Platinum Contributing Member
12 minutes ago, hwytohell said:

I think the U.S. house will be in dem hands , the club senate NOPE.

I thought that until the past few weeks.   Now I'm not so sure.   

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