Mainecat Posted August 23 Share Posted August 23 Before the Dem Convention….. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gold Member Stephen Hawking Posted August 23 Gold Member Share Posted August 23 THIS IS FINALLY IT!! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
racinfarmer Posted August 23 Share Posted August 23 We've been hearing your sorry ass song and dance for like 12 years. I'll buy it when it happens, not when you predict it... 2 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mainecat Posted August 23 Author Share Posted August 23 Pick a poll any poll. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bontz Posted August 23 Share Posted August 23 28 minutes ago, Mainecat said: Pick a poll any poll. Sounds like a line from your fellow carnies at the clown show .... "Step right up! Step right up!" 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Bidens Brain Posted August 23 Share Posted August 23 34 minutes ago, Mainecat said: Pick a poll any poll. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, in a two-way matchup, 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 46% would vote for Harris. Two percent (2%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and another two percent (2%) are undecided. These findings show a closer race than a week ago, when Trump led by four points, with 49% to Harris’s 45%.(To see survey question wording, click here.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bontz Posted August 23 Share Posted August 23 7 minutes ago, Joe Bidens Brain said: The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, in a two-way matchup, 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 46% would vote for Harris. Two percent (2%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and another two percent (2%) are undecided. These findings show a closer race than a week ago, when Trump led by four points, with 49% to Harris’s 45%.(To see survey question wording, click here.) Pick any poll ..... oops, wait. Not that one!! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mainecat Posted August 23 Author Share Posted August 23 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XCR1250 Posted August 23 Share Posted August 23 51 minutes ago, Mainecat said: Pick a poll any poll. Thursday, August 15, 2024: The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, in a two-way matchup, 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 46% would vote for Harris. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toslow Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 58 minutes ago, Mainecat said: Pick a poll any poll. You looking for a stripper 😂😂 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Platinum Contributing Member Steve753 Posted August 24 Platinum Contributing Member Share Posted August 24 14 minutes ago, XCR1250 said: Thursday, August 15, 2024: The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, in a two-way matchup, 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 46% would vote for Harris. Rasmussen had Trump wimming in 2020. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toslow Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 Just now, Steve753 said: Rasmussen had Trump wimming in 2020. The other polls had Hillary winning right up till they called it in 2016 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Platinum Contributing Member Steve753 Posted August 24 Platinum Contributing Member Share Posted August 24 Just now, toslow said: The other polls had Hillary winning right up till they called it in 2016 This is not 2016 however. People know how horrible Trump is now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XCR1250 Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 3 minutes ago, Steve753 said: Rasmussen had Trump wimming in 2020. Supporters of presidential candidate Hillary Clinton watch televised coverage of the U.S. presidential election at Comet Tavern in the Capitol Hill neighborhood of Seattle on Nov. 8. (Photo by Jason Redmond/AFP/Getty Images) The results of Tuesday’s presidential election came as a surprise to nearly everyone who had been following the national and state election polling, which consistently projected Hillary Clinton as defeating Donald Trump. Relying largely on opinion polls, election forecasters put Clinton’s chance of winning at anywhere from 70% to as high as 99%, and pegged her as the heavy favorite to win a number of states such as Pennsylvania and Wisconsin that in the end were taken by Trump. How could the polls have been so wrong about the state of the election? There is a great deal of speculation but no clear answers as to the cause of the disconnect, but there is one point of agreement: Across the board, polls underestimated Trump’s level of support. With few exceptions, the final round of public polling showed Clinton with a lead of 1 to 7 percentage points in the national popular vote. State-level polling was more variable, but there were few instances where polls overstated Trump’s support. The fact that so many forecasts were off-target was particularly notable given the increasingly wide variety of methodologies being tested and reported via the mainstream media and other channels. The traditional telephone polls of recent decades are now joined by increasing numbers of high profile, online probability and nonprobability sample surveys, as well as prediction markets, all of which showed similar errors. Pollsters don’t have a clear diagnosis yet for the misfires, and it will likely be some time before we know for sure what happened. There are, however, several possible explanations for the misstep that many in the polling community will be talking about in upcoming weeks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Platinum Contributing Member Steve753 Posted August 24 Platinum Contributing Member Share Posted August 24 1 minute ago, XCR1250 said: Supporters of presidential candidate Hillary Clinton watch televised coverage of the U.S. presidential election at Comet Tavern in the Capitol Hill neighborhood of Seattle on Nov. 8. (Photo by Jason Redmond/AFP/Getty Images) The results of Tuesday’s presidential election came as a surprise to nearly everyone who had been following the national and state election polling, which consistently projected Hillary Clinton as defeating Donald Trump. Relying largely on opinion polls, election forecasters put Clinton’s chance of winning at anywhere from 70% to as high as 99%, and pegged her as the heavy favorite to win a number of states such as Pennsylvania and Wisconsin that in the end were taken by Trump. How could the polls have been so wrong about the state of the election? There is a great deal of speculation but no clear answers as to the cause of the disconnect, but there is one point of agreement: Across the board, polls underestimated Trump’s level of support. With few exceptions, the final round of public polling showed Clinton with a lead of 1 to 7 percentage points in the national popular vote. State-level polling was more variable, but there were few instances where polls overstated Trump’s support. The fact that so many forecasts were off-target was particularly notable given the increasingly wide variety of methodologies being tested and reported via the mainstream media and other channels. The traditional telephone polls of recent decades are now joined by increasing numbers of high profile, online probability and nonprobability sample surveys, as well as prediction markets, all of which showed similar errors. Pollsters don’t have a clear diagnosis yet for the misfires, and it will likely be some time before we know for sure what happened. There are, however, several possible explanations for the misstep that many in the polling community will be talking about in upcoming weeks. This not 2016. Far more Trump haters than 2016 and 2020. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XCR1250 Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 1 minute ago, Steve753 said: This not 2016. Far more Trump haters than 2016 and 2020. Link Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bontz Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 2 minutes ago, Steve753 said: This not 2016. Far more Trump haters than 2016 and 2020. That sounds more like your wallet talking, for fear of losing a bunch of money 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Platinum Contributing Member Steve753 Posted August 24 Platinum Contributing Member Share Posted August 24 1 minute ago, Bontz said: That sounds more like your wallet talking, for fear of losing a bunch of money I'll probably lose double that tonight at the casino. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Platinum Contributing Member Rigid1 Posted August 24 Platinum Contributing Member Share Posted August 24 On 8/18/2024 at 2:18 PM, Steve753 said: Polls keep the minions occupied. 11 minutes ago, Steve753 said: Rasmussen had Trump wimming in 2020. Stalker Sthevie goes both ways again.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bontz Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 4 minutes ago, Steve753 said: I'll probably lose double that tonight at the casino. Well, given how much of a dumbass you are ... that surprises nobody. Congrats high roller!! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Platinum Contributing Member Rigid1 Posted August 24 Platinum Contributing Member Share Posted August 24 7 minutes ago, Bontz said: Well, given how much of a dumbass you are ... that surprises nobody. Congrats high roller!! He's a baller for sure! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XCR1250 Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 CNN Analyst: Trump More Popular Today than in 2016, 2020 Breitbart 8/14/2024 Election, by Wendell Husebø Posted By: Imright, 8/14/2024 8:35:12 AM Former President Donald Trump is more popular in August 2024, than he was in August of 2016 and 2020, CNN analyst Harry Enten revealed Tuesday. The findings suggest Trump has a significant chance to complete the greatest comeback story in modern American politics, despite Vice President Kamala Harris’s recent surge in the polls. Trump’s favorability rating compared to the last two election cycles: August, 2024: 44 percent August, 2020: 41 percent August, 2016: 33 percent “The bottom line is Kamal Harris is doing better in the polls but there is a long way to go,” Enten said. “The polls can shift” 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Bidens Brain Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 1 minute ago, XCR1250 said: CNN Analyst: Trump More Popular Today than in 2016, 2020 Breitbart 8/14/2024 Election, by Wendell Husebø Posted By: Imright, 8/14/2024 8:35:12 AM Former President Donald Trump is more popular in August 2024, than he was in August of 2016 and 2020, CNN analyst Harry Enten revealed Tuesday. The findings suggest Trump has a significant chance to complete the greatest comeback story in modern American politics, despite Vice President Kamala Harris’s recent surge in the polls. Trump’s favorability rating compared to the last two election cycles: August, 2024: 44 percent August, 2020: 41 percent August, 2016: 33 percent “The bottom line is Kamal Harris is doing better in the polls but there is a long way to go,” Enten said. “The polls can shift” do we draw straws for somone to check on steve i would send beau but hes dead 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toslow Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 Stupid stevy just proves my theory is correct every day i see him post on here 😂😂 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sled_Hed Posted August 24 Share Posted August 24 1 hour ago, Steve753 said: Rasmussen had Trump wimming in 2020. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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