Before the Dem Convention…..

 

THIS IS FINALLY IT!! 

We've been hearing your sorry ass song and dance for like 12 years.  

I'll buy it when it happens, not when you predict it...

Pick a poll any poll.

28 minutes ago, Mainecat said:

Pick a poll any poll.

Sounds like a line from your fellow carnies at the clown show .... "Step right up!  Step right up!"

34 minutes ago, Mainecat said:

Pick a poll any poll.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, in a two-way matchup, 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 46% would vote for Harris. Two percent (2%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and another two percent (2%) are undecided. These findings show a closer race than a week ago, when Trump led by four points, with 49% to Harris’s 45%.(To see survey question wording, click here.)

7 minutes ago, Joe Bidens Brain said:

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, in a two-way matchup, 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 46% would vote for Harris. Two percent (2%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and another two percent (2%) are undecided. These findings show a closer race than a week ago, when Trump led by four points, with 49% to Harris’s 45%.(To see survey question wording, click here.)

Pick any poll ..... oops, wait.  Not that one!!

 

51 minutes ago, Mainecat said:

Pick a poll any poll.

Thursday, August 15, 2024: The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, in a two-way matchup, 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 46% would vote for Harris.

58 minutes ago, Mainecat said:

Pick a poll any poll.

You looking for a stripper 😂😂

14 minutes ago, XCR1250 said:

Thursday, August 15, 2024: The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, in a two-way matchup, 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 46% would vote for Harris.

Rasmussen had Trump wimming in 2020.

Just now, Steve753 said:

Rasmussen had Trump wimming in 2020.

The other polls had Hillary winning right up till they called it in 2016

Just now, toslow said:

The other polls had Hillary winning right up till they called it in 2016

This is not 2016 however. People know how horrible Trump is now.

3 minutes ago, Steve753 said:

Rasmussen had Trump wimming in 2020.

Supporters of presidential candidate Hillary Clinton watch televised coverage of the U.S. presidential election at Comet Tavern in the Capitol Hill neighborhood of Seattle on Nov. 8. (Photo by Jason Redmond/AFP/Getty Images)  

The results of Tuesday’s presidential election came as a surprise to nearly everyone who had been following the national and state election polling, which consistently projected Hillary Clinton as defeating Donald Trump. Relying largely on opinion polls, election forecasters put Clinton’s chance of winning at anywhere from 70% to as high as 99%, and pegged her as the heavy favorite to win a number of states such as Pennsylvania and Wisconsin that in the end were taken by Trump.

How could the polls have been so wrong about the state of the election?

There is a great deal of speculation but no clear answers as to the cause of the disconnect, but there is one point of agreement: Across the board, polls underestimated Trump’s level of support. With few exceptions, the final round of public polling showed Clinton with a lead of 1 to 7 percentage points in the national popular vote. State-level polling was more variable, but there were few instances where polls overstated Trump’s support.

The fact that so many forecasts were off-target was particularly notable given the increasingly wide variety of methodologies being tested and reported via the mainstream media and other channels. The traditional telephone polls of recent decades are now joined by increasing numbers of high profile, online probability and nonprobability sample surveys, as well as prediction markets, all of which showed similar errors.

Pollsters don’t have a clear diagnosis yet for the misfires, and it will likely be some time before we know for sure what happened. There are, however, several possible explanations for the misstep that many in the polling community will be talking about in upcoming weeks.

1 minute ago, XCR1250 said:

Supporters of presidential candidate Hillary Clinton watch televised coverage of the U.S. presidential election at Comet Tavern in the Capitol Hill neighborhood of Seattle on Nov. 8. (Photo by Jason Redmond/AFP/Getty Images)  

The results of Tuesday’s presidential election came as a surprise to nearly everyone who had been following the national and state election polling, which consistently projected Hillary Clinton as defeating Donald Trump. Relying largely on opinion polls, election forecasters put Clinton’s chance of winning at anywhere from 70% to as high as 99%, and pegged her as the heavy favorite to win a number of states such as Pennsylvania and Wisconsin that in the end were taken by Trump.

How could the polls have been so wrong about the state of the election?

There is a great deal of speculation but no clear answers as to the cause of the disconnect, but there is one point of agreement: Across the board, polls underestimated Trump’s level of support. With few exceptions, the final round of public polling showed Clinton with a lead of 1 to 7 percentage points in the national popular vote. State-level polling was more variable, but there were few instances where polls overstated Trump’s support.

The fact that so many forecasts were off-target was particularly notable given the increasingly wide variety of methodologies being tested and reported via the mainstream media and other channels. The traditional telephone polls of recent decades are now joined by increasing numbers of high profile, online probability and nonprobability sample surveys, as well as prediction markets, all of which showed similar errors.

Pollsters don’t have a clear diagnosis yet for the misfires, and it will likely be some time before we know for sure what happened. There are, however, several possible explanations for the misstep that many in the polling community will be talking about in upcoming weeks.

This not 2016. Far more Trump haters than 2016 and 2020.

1 minute ago, Steve753 said:

This not 2016. Far more Trump haters than 2016 and 2020.

Link

2 minutes ago, Steve753 said:

This not 2016. Far more Trump haters than 2016 and 2020.

That sounds more like your wallet talking, for fear of losing a bunch of money

1 minute ago, Bontz said:

That sounds more like your wallet talking, for fear of losing a bunch of money

I'll probably lose double that tonight at the casino.

On 8/18/2024 at 2:18 PM, Steve753 said:

Polls keep the minions occupied.

 

11 minutes ago, Steve753 said:

Rasmussen had Trump wimming in 2020.

Stalker Sthevie goes both ways again..

4 minutes ago, Steve753 said:

I'll probably lose double that tonight at the casino.

Well, given how much of a dumbass you are ... that surprises nobody.  Congrats high roller!!

7 minutes ago, Bontz said:

Well, given how much of a dumbass you are ... that surprises nobody.  Congrats high roller!!

He's a baller for sure!

CNN Analyst: Trump More Popular Today
than in 2016, 2020

Breitbart 8/14/2024 Election, by Wendell Husebø

 

Posted By: Imright, 8/14/2024 8:35:12 AM

Former President Donald Trump is more popular in August 2024, than he was in August of 2016 and 2020, CNN analyst Harry Enten revealed Tuesday. The findings suggest Trump has a significant chance to complete the greatest comeback story in modern American politics, despite Vice President Kamala Harris’s recent surge in the polls. Trump’s favorability rating compared to the last two election cycles: August, 2024: 44 percent August, 2020: 41 percent August, 2016: 33 percent “The bottom line is Kamal Harris is doing better in the polls but there is a long way to go,” Enten said. “The polls can shift”

 

1 minute ago, XCR1250 said:

CNN Analyst: Trump More Popular Today
than in 2016, 2020

Breitbart 8/14/2024 Election, by Wendell Husebø

 

Posted By: Imright, 8/14/2024 8:35:12 AM

Former President Donald Trump is more popular in August 2024, than he was in August of 2016 and 2020, CNN analyst Harry Enten revealed Tuesday. The findings suggest Trump has a significant chance to complete the greatest comeback story in modern American politics, despite Vice President Kamala Harris’s recent surge in the polls. Trump’s favorability rating compared to the last two election cycles: August, 2024: 44 percent August, 2020: 41 percent August, 2016: 33 percent “The bottom line is Kamal Harris is doing better in the polls but there is a long way to go,” Enten said. “The polls can shift”

 

do we draw straws for somone to check on steve i would send beau but hes dead

Stupid stevy just proves my theory is correct every day i see him post on here 😂😂

1 hour ago, Steve753 said:

Rasmussen had Trump wimming in 2020.

I guess we will have to see what RFK dropping out and endorsing Trump will bring.   Not so sure Harris will get the usual bump after the DNC convention.....but that remains to be seen too.   

Now in the coming weeks we will see what actual platform and policies she will be running on.....or is it just the hate Trump narrative? Seems like that's all she has.