Why This Race Is Over....

[01mxz800]

2 hours ago, SnowRider said:

Cappy - $100 Hillary wins PA?  

now the dumb fuck wants to bet on 1 state LOL

[SnowRider]

 Let the butthurt begin fella's  

 

Battleground polls: Clinton tops Trump post-convention

(CNN)Hillary Clinton holds commanding leads over Donald Trump in a trio of states that the GOP nominee has made central to his White House bid, according to polls released Thursday following both party's national conventions last month, and has maintained an advantage in the perennial swing state of Florida. 

In New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and Michigan -- states that have trended Democratic in recent elections, but whose economics and demographics seem to pose an opening for the GOP nominee -- Clinton has made strides in improving her favorable ratings, while Trump remains challenged by high unfavorable ratings and resistance from a significant portion of Republicans.

 

New Hampshire

 

A new poll of New Hampshire shows Clinton with a commanding 15-point lead over Donald Trump, finding Granite State Democrats coalescing around their nominee after their convention while state Republicans remain resistant to Trump.

Clinton leads Trump 47% to 32% among likely New Hampshire voters, according to the poll from WBUR, with third-party candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein included. Matched up one-on-one, Clinton's lead grows to 17 points, 51% to 34%.

Both candidates continue to suffer from challenging unfavorable ratings, though Clinton has made strides improving her marks following the conventions. The Democratic nominee now breaks even, with 45% saying they view Clinton favorably to 45% who say the opposite -- up from a -23 spread in a WBUR poll from May. Trump is viewed favorably by 29% of likely New Hampshire voters, against 60% who have an unfavorable opinion -- a slight decline from May. 

The poll found also that Clinton receives the support of 86% of Democrats and 14% of Republicans, while Trump is backed by just 63% of Republicans and 4% of Democrats. 

The WBUR survey also asked likely New Hampshire voters what they thought about each party's national conventions. Fifty-six percent said they thought Clinton emerged from the convention "much stronger" or "a little stronger," compared to 39% who said the same about Trump and the RNC.

The poll also found Democrats with an edge in the state's U.S. Senate race. Democratic Gov. Maggie Hassan leads incumbent GOP Sen. Kelly Ayotte 50% to 40%. New Hampshire is among a few close races in swing states in a year where control of the Senate could come down to just one or two changing seats. 

The WBUR New Hampshire poll was conducted from July 29 through August 1, and surveyed 609 likely New Hampshire voters. The margin of error is +/- 4 points.

 

Pennsylvania

 

In Pennsylvania -- a Democratic-leaning Rust Belt state that Trump has vowed to put in play for the GOP this election -- another poll released Thursday showed Clinton leading Trump by double digits. 

Clinton leads Trump 49% to 38% among likely Pennsylvania voters, according to the Franklin and Marshall College poll. Her lead swells to 13 points, 47% to 34%, with Johnson and Stein included. 

Clinton's lead in Pennsylvania was buttressed by the Democratic National Convention. The poll found that 62% of those who watched the DNC said they were more likely to vote for Clinton. Forty percent of those who watched the Republican convention said it made them more likely to vote for Trump. 

Both Clinton and Trump struggle with high unfavorable ratings among likely Pennsylvania voters, but as in New Hampshire, Clinton has an advantage over Trump on this measure. Forty-seven percent said they view the Democratic nominee favorably to 49% who view her unfavorably, while Trump's spread -- 33% favorable to 62% unfavorable -- is further underwater. 

Likely Pennsylvania voters favor Clinton over Trump on the question of who has better judgment and experience, and who is more prepared to handle foreign policy and terrorism. But Clinton and Trump run about even on the question of who would better manage the economy. 

Consistent with previous presidential elections in Pennsylvania, the Republican nominee's biggest leads are in the southwest region of the state, while Clinton's advantage is in the northeast, most notably in Philadelphia. 

The Franklin and Marshall College poll of Pennsylvania was conducted from July 29 through August 1. The poll surveyed a random sample of 661 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.8 points, and 389 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 6.3 points. 

 

Michigan

 

Another battleground poll released Thursday -- Michigan -- also found Clinton holding a significant lead over Trump. 

Clinton is ahead of Trump by 9 points, 41% to 32%, among likely Michigan voters, according to a Detroit news/WDIV-TV poll. Clinton's lead is smaller, 6 points, without third-party candidates included.

Pollster Richard Czuba told the Detroit News the survey found a "shocking" Clinton lead in typically reliable Republican areas in west and southwest Michigan, where she carries leads of 5-6 points. And according to the poll, 30% of self-identifying Michigan Republicans are not backing Trump. 

Trump's struggles in the state's conservative strongholds are attributable in part to Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson. The poll found that in those west and southwest regions of Michigan, critical for flipping Michigan red, Johnson is drawing 10% and 16% support, respectively. 

The poll also found a majority of Michigan voters -- 61% -- say Trump is "ill-prepared to be commander in chief."

The Detroit News/WDIV-TV poll was conducted from July 29 through August 1, surveying 600 likely Michigan voters. It has a margin of error of +/- 4 points.

 

Florida

 

A new Florida poll also found Clinton leading, though the Democratic nominee's edge there is slimmer.

Clinton beats Trump 48% to 42% among likely Florida voters, according to the survey from Suffolk University. She leads 43% to 39% when third-party candidates are included. 

Both candidates score net negative favorability ratings, though again, Clinton's numbers are marginally better. Half of likely Florida voters said they have an unfavorable opinion of Clinton, while 44% said they have a favorable opinion of the candidate. Trump is viewed unfavorably by 54% of respondents and favorably by 37%. 

The Suffolk poll also found that majorities -- 57% -- said the country was on the wrong track, and that they felt less safe than 5-10 years ago. 

Most likely Florida voters reported having negative views of the 2016 race. More than half -- 53% -- say they feel "alarmed" when they think about the presidential election, compared to just 28% who said they were excited.

And asked to rank the issues shaping the race, Floridians listed terrorism and national security as the most important, followed by jobs and the economy, and the selection of Supreme Court nominees. 

The Suffolk University poll sampled 500 likely Florida voters from August 1 through 3. It has a margin of error of +/-4.4 points.

 

http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/04/politics/clinton-leads-trump-three-states/index.html

[SnowRider]

I'll need a buttplugger to remind Grabass to pay me 

 

Hillary Clinton holds a six-point lead over Donald Trump in Florida, according to the latest Suffolk University survey of likely voters in the state released Thursday.

Matched head-to-head, Clinton took 48 percent, while Trump earned 42 percent. In a four-way matchup, Clinton grabbed 43 percent, followed by 39 percent for Trump, 4 percent for Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and 3 percent for Green Party candidate Jill Stein.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/poll-clinton-leads-trump-by-6-in-florida-226673

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/poll-clinton-leads-trump-by-6-in-florida-226673#ixzz4GOJGCNV1 
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook

 

 

Edited August 4, 2016 by SnowRider

[Capt.Storm]

The people are being grubered I tell you!

That was for Z !

[Zambroski]

1 minute ago, Capt.Storm said:

The people are being grubered I tell you!

That was for Z !

 The "people" like it though.  I wonder if it feels like a slow hand job or something for some.....and a dry prison rape for others.

[Capt.Storm]

4 minutes ago, Zambroski said:

 The "people" like it though.  I wonder if it feels like a slow hand job or something for some.....and a dry prison rape for others.

Not for nothing Z I know you would do whatever it takes to defend the rights and what freedoms we have left in this county..you sir are a true American!

Un-like sr.

Edited August 4, 2016 by Capt.Storm

[Zambroski]

Just now, Capt.Storm said:

Not for nothing Z I know you would do whatever it takes to defend the rights and what freedoms we have left in this county..you sir are a true American!

MAN!  How much fun would that be?  WOOO!  Get rid of a whole bunch-o problems inside of a week.  But alas, I must admit, this is a "titanic situation".  Life boats are in short supply and mostly labeled "Canada".  Canada may not be perfect.....but I have to go to the "third worlds" before I see nations more fucked up than we are.  

I'm surmising a plan....................................

[Mainecat]

1 hour ago, Zambroski said:

MAN!  How much fun would that be?  WOOO!  Get rid of a whole bunch-o problems inside of a week.  But alas, I must admit, this is a "titanic situation".  Life boats are in short supply and mostly labeled "Canada".  Canada may not be perfect.....but I have to go to the "third worlds" before I see nations more fucked up than we are.  

I'm surmising a plan....................................

Please leave

[Capt.Storm]

2 minutes ago, Zambroski said:

MAN!  How much fun would that be?  WOOO!  Get rid of a whole bunch-o problems inside of a week.  But alas, I must admit, this is a "titanic situation".  Life boats are in short supply and mostly labeled "Canada".  Canada may not be perfect.....but I have to go to the "third worlds" before I see nations more fucked up than we are.  

I'm surmising a plan....................................

We can git-er-done!

Hold my beer...

[Capt.Storm]

1 minute ago, Mainecat said:

Please leave

Who the fuck do you think you are?

[Zambroski]

Just now, Mainecat said:

Please leave

Ok, Burgess.....but only because you used the "magic word".  That and I've got some other shit to do.

[Capt.Storm]

My hero Z looks just like this motherfuckers!!

Come on..fuck with that!

 

[Mainecat]

Frick and Frack

[Capt.Storm]

1 minute ago, Mainecat said:

Frick and Frack

I'll stick it in your crack.

[Capt.Storm]

Come on MC..tell me how gay I am..I dare you..I double dare you!

[Capt.Storm]

[Mainecat]

Republicans go there every day. If your gay I dont care....good for you....if not who really cares.

Unless your Japanese

[Capt.Storm]

Even Bored agrees..

[Capt.Storm]

1 minute ago, Mainecat said:

Republicans go there every day. If your gay I dont care....good for you....if not who really cares.

Unless your Japanese

Yeah..what is it with you and the japs?

[SnowRider]

racer - identifying manipulation seems to be important for you.  Can you help me explain how the DNC manipulates the following: m And by manipulation I mean how does Ed Rollins, Newt Gingrich, Whitman, etc get manipulated by the DNC.  Plus - how is the following info a DNC talking point.  Thanks - your insight is appreciated.   

Ed Rollins, a co-chairman of a super PAC backing Trump, shares: “I think one of Donald Trump’s singular difficulties with this campaign is that he sits and watches TV all day long and feels he has to react to every single thing that’s said against him.  . . . “Sometimes great racehorses can’t stay on the track, they wander all over the place, they have to put blinder on them. We need to put a blinder on Donald Trump and his focus needs to be on Mrs. Clinton. And any other Republican, he just leaves alone.”

[Watch: Donald Trump and Mike Pence have some big differences to work out] 

Umm, why would we want someone like this as president? At any rate the underlying message here is simple: The candidate is bizarrely unable to run a coherent campaign. (As if to make his point Trump spent a good deal of his rally in Florida on Wednesday rehashing his “blood from whatever” controversy with Megyn Kelly and his mocking of a New York Times reporter whose physical handicap Trump seemed to imitate.)

Newt Gingrich, among his most prominent apologists, told The Post: ““Trump is helping her to win by proving he is more unacceptable than she is.” He went on,  “He cannot win the presidency operating the way he is now. She can’t be bad enough to elect him if he’s determined to make this many mistakes.” It sounds precisely like the #NeverTrump forces. He didn’t stop there. “Let me just say flatly, I am totally for John McCain, who is a great war hero and a terrific human being, who has worked very hard for veterans. And I’m totally for Paul Ryan, who is the heart of the House Republican Party and probably the most problem-solving leader we’ve had in the Congress on the Republican side in the last 20 years,” Gingrich said on Fox Business Network. He added: “So I think somewhat what Trump has done is just very self-destructive.”

And these are his supporters, folks.

Meanwhile a parade of Republicans (e.g. Meg Whitman, New York Rep. Richard Hanna, former Jeb Bush adviser Sally Bradshaw, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie adviser Maria Comella, former RNC chairman Marc Racicot) have come out not only against Trump, but for Hillary Clinton.

 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/wp/2016/08/04/trumpkins-criticize-their-candidate-on-the-record/

[Rigid1]

Policy proposals run $2.2 trillion deficit

 

 

Hillary Clinton comes up $2.2 trillion short in paying for her policy agenda, despite hiking taxes by $1.3 trillion, according to a new analysis of the Democratic nominee’s campaign platform.

The American Action Forum, a center-right policy institute, released a report Thursday finding Clinton’s domestic agenda would “have a dramatic effect on the federal budget.”

Gordon Gray, American Action Forum’s director of fiscal policy, based the report on estimates of policy proposals from the Clinton campaign itself, as well as independent analyses from the Tax Policy Center and the Center for a Responsible Federal Budget.

Gray found Clinton’s policies for expanding government’s role in family leave and student loans would contribute significantly to the deficit, and in turn a growing national debt that stands at $19.358 trillion.

In fact, the amount of debt held by the public alone would reach $25.825 trillion in 2026 under Clinton’s plan. The amount of debt held by the public today is $13.968 trillion.

“Based on these estimates, Secretary Clinton’s proposals would, on net and over a ten-year period (2017-2026), increase revenues by $1.3 trillion, increase outlays by $3.5 trillion, for a combined deficit effect of nearly $2.2 trillion over the next decade,” Gray wrote.

The report notes that Clinton’s proposals would also increase deficits to 5.7 percent of Gross Domestic Product, and the debt held by the public to 93.4 percent of GDP, “well above the current law projection of 85.6 percent.”

Clinton’s most expensive policy proposal by far is guaranteeing up to 12 weeks of paid family leave at a cost of $1.598 trillion. Her “College Compact” plan that would give free community college tuition for students who work 10 hours a week would cost $347 billion. The campaign says the plan would be fully paid for by hiking taxes on the wealthy.

Clinton’s child care plan would cost $337 billion, while debt free college for future students would cost $107 billion. The tab for universal preschool reaches $66 billion.

The American Action Forum points out that a Clinton administration would likely cost taxpayers more, as the campaign has yet to release financing details for additional proposals.

“This estimate does not include proposals where it does not appear evident that the campaign intended to budget for them, for example, Secretary Clinton expressed support for fully funding the IDEA program (possibly adding $180 billion over the next ten years) and increasing health funding for Puerto Rico (possible cost of $15-20 billion over the next ten years) but did not appear to propose them as discrete spending proposals,” the report said.

 

http://freebeacon.com/politics/report-hillary-clinton-hike-taxes-1-3-trillion/

 

[SnowRider]

 

The American Action Forum, a center-right policy institute, released a report Thursday finding Clinton’s domestic agenda would “have a dramatic effect on the federal budget.”

[Rigid1]

3 minutes ago, SnowRider said:

 

The American Action Forum, a center-right policy institute, released a report Thursday finding Clinton’s domestic agenda would “have a dramatic effect on the federal budget.”

The Hillary campaign had to release those #'s, read the last 2 paragraphs..............................................................................................................

Are these not the proposals that you speak so highly of?? running at a 2.2 trillion dollar loss..

Edited August 4, 2016 by Rigid1

[Momorider]

4 minutes ago, SnowRider said:

 

The American Action Forum, a center-right policy institute, released a report Thursday finding Clinton’s domestic agenda would “have a dramatic effect on the federal budget.”

No source you ever posted ever had anything even remotely described with the word centre that for is fucking sure, you socialist ignorant know nothing factless clown  

[Rigid1]

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s policy proposals as a candidate for president would have a dramatic effect on the federal budget.[1] To her credit, Secretary Clinton has provided a fair amount of detail on her positions. In addition, other organizations, most prominently the Tax Policy Center and theCommittee for a Responsible Federal Budget, have also provided estimates of the current candidates’ proposals. This analysis primarily relies on public statement provided by the Clinton campaign.

Based on these estimates, Secretary Clinton’s proposals would, on net and over a ten-year period (2017-2026), increase revenues by $1.3 trillion, increase outlays by $3.5 trillion, for a combined deficit effect of nearly $2.2 trillion over the next decade.