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2 minutes ago, NaturallyAspirated said:

Farm bankruptcy up 20% in 2019, despite your generous MFP dollars, and Trump's tariff wonders!

Neal

Too many farmers taking out huge dept. Lots of great farmers out there,most of them are horrible businessmen. You have to be both. This bubble always bursts every 10 years or so in this area.

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Just now, Woodtick said:

Too many farmers taking out huge dept. Lots of great farmers out there,most of them are horrible businessmen. You have to be both. This bubble always bursts every 10 years or so in this area.

Some truth spoken there. They take on debt like government

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1 minute ago, washedupmxer said:

Some truth spoken there. They take on debt like government

The biggest thing in this area is the price on tillable acres. There flat out isn’t a return on investment,no matter what you plant.  The ones making money sell parts off to developers and buy more land elsewhere for cheaper. 

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1 hour ago, Woodtick said:

Too many farmers taking out huge dept. Lots of great farmers out there,most of them are horrible businessmen. You have to be both. This bubble always bursts every 10 years or so in this area.

How many BTOs don't take out massive yearly operating loans though?  It's commonplace.

Neal

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1 hour ago, Woodtick said:

The biggest thing in this area is the price on tillable acres. There flat out isn’t a return on investment,no matter what you plant.  The ones making money sell parts off to developers and buy more land elsewhere for cheaper. 

Big guys soak up some loss on land price to keep the machines moving.

The middle sized farmers are going to take a beating the next few years.  Markets have shifted, we are getting to near gluttonous supply levels, even during bad years for many farms.  Prices have plateaued, no real forecast for bullish markets...

Rural America is gonna get another punch I fear.

Neal

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  • Gold Member

Google says only at an 8 year high....  so 8 years ago more farmers filed for bankruptcy...  and google said only 595 farmers filed for bankruptcy in 2019 compared to 498 in 2018.  595 across the nation bankruptcies doesn’t really seem like a lot.

 

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2 hours ago, s pump said:

Cspan has a segment on agriculture right now. Picture looks good for the most part. Worth a watch.

What did the report say about corn and bean stocks for this fall.

USDA projects corn up to 2.637b bushels up from  1.892b last season.

Soybeans projected to have 340m bushel carry, and that's granting China returns to normal importing levels, which seems unlikely.

Neal

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