Mainecat Posted July 18, 2020 Share Posted July 18, 2020 One and done for Trump...... Here are the reasons Trump is losing so badly - Jennifer Rubin The 15-point lead for former vice president Joe Biden in the Quinnipiac poll released Wednesday seemed to many Democrats too good to be true. Then a NBC News-Wall Street Journal poll dropped, showing an 11-point lead for Biden. Even if you think the polls will narrow as the election gets closer (a good bet) or that President Trump will start acting like a normal president (a bad bet), it is instructive to see why Biden has these big margins and how they correlate with Trump’s increasingly bizarre antics and fractured rhetoric. Trump has lost white women: In 2016, Hillary Clinton (according to later verified results) carried female voters by 15 points (54-39) but lost white women (45-47). In the Quinnipiac poll, Biden leads by a greater margin than Clinton’s final number among all women (59-31) and among white women (55-38). In the NBC-WSJ poll, Biden’s lead is similarly large, at 58 percent to 35 percent (though numbers for white women are not specifically reported). It’s likely that Trump lost so much ground among white women due to a range of policies, from his treatment of women and children at the border to his incendiary language to his lack of concern for the health of schoolchildren returning in the fall. Trump has lost older voters: Older voters (65 and above) went for Trump in 2016 by nine points. Quinnipiac shows Biden crushing Trump with these voters with a 14-point margin. (The NBC-WSJ poll does not break this group out either.) It was probably bad strategy to threaten to take away Medicaid (via elimination of the Affordable Care Act), which funds nursing home costs, and to be cavalier about older voters’ vulnerability during the pandemic. Because these voters (like women) tend to turn out in greater numbers than other segments of the electorate, this is particularly bad news for Trump, especially in states with large numbers of seniors and surging coronavirus cases (e.g., Florida and Arizona). Trump has lost ground with whites without college degrees: Trump did exceptionally well with this group in 2016, winning by 36 points (64-28). His advantage has deteriorated considerably, leading by just 13 points in the Quinnipiac poll and by 22 points in the NBC-WSJ poll. It may be that many of these voters are now suffering badly due to the economy, they resent him trying to take away health care or they are turned off by Trump’s racist appeals. They may have voted for him because he would shake things up or because they disliked Clinton more or because they thought his skills as a businessman would serve him well. Whatever the explanation, that critical group is falling away from Trump, and hugging the Confederate flag and bullying schools to reopen is not helping. Trump is bombing with independent and swing-state voters: These voters chose Trump in 2016 by a narrow 43-42 margin; Quinnipiac now shows him losing the group 34-51. In swing states, Trump is losing by an even larger margin than his overall national vote (12 points), according to the NBC-WSJ poll. Of the 11 battleground states the NBC-WSJ poll surveyed (Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin), Trump won six in 2016. A 12-point overall deficit in these states suggests he will do much worse in 2020. In sum, the price of appealing so heavily to his far-right, white, evangelical and mostly male base is that Trump has alienated everyone else. Even within core groups, he is not doing as well as he did in 2016. Lo and behold, the NBC-WSJ poll found that 50 percent of all voters say there is no chance they’d vote for him, while 52 percent say they’d be "very uncomfortable.” Biden’s figures are both under 40 percent. If you cannot hold or expand your base and you enrage everyone else, chances are you will lose. https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/07/16/here-are-reasons-trumps-losing-so-badly/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
01mxz800 Posted July 18, 2020 Share Posted July 18, 2020 you won;t survive his second term Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ez ryder Posted July 18, 2020 Share Posted July 18, 2020 wide to wire Vegas odds 98% any of this jogging your memory ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mainecat Posted July 19, 2020 Author Share Posted July 19, 2020 The orchestra is playing as you clowns go down with the ship. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XCR1250 Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 1 minute ago, Mainecat said: The orchestra is playing as you clowns go down with the ship. Is this your "Toast" again?? LOL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 I hate Trump's Evangelical, anti-abortion stand. Fuck his religion, fuck it. Fuck his stand on abortion, fuck him and Mike Fukkin Pence....FUCK THEM!! FUCK THEM!!! ROE-V WADE was decided on in 1973, FUCK TRUMP AND FUCK PENCE< fuckin cunts.............it's been ruled on, the fukkin cunts!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 I would vote for Trump only because the alternative is an abomination. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 Imagine that faggot orange headed fukker walking across the street and holding a bible in front of the church in DC!!! What a fukkin orangutan-lookin, bitch-assed thing to do!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DriftBusta Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 Jesus I wish some of your clowns would cancel your internet and just log off for good. The dumb is strong. I'mma extend a big double handed middle finger to all you haters on election day, cuz you are whats wrong with the country today, indoctrinated fucking morons. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sleepr2 Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 (edited) 8 hours ago, Mainecat said: One and done for Trump...... Here are the reasons Trump is losing so badly - Jennifer Rubin The 15-point lead for former vice president Joe Biden in the Quinnipiac poll released Wednesday seemed to many Democrats too good to be true. Then a NBC News-Wall Street Journal poll dropped, showing an 11-point lead for Biden. Even if you think the polls will narrow as the election gets closer (a good bet) or that President Trump will start acting like a normal president (a bad bet), it is instructive to see why Biden has these big margins and how they correlate with Trump’s increasingly bizarre antics and fractured rhetoric. Trump has lost white women: In 2016, Hillary Clinton (according to later verified results) carried female voters by 15 points (54-39) but lost white women (45-47). In the Quinnipiac poll, Biden leads by a greater margin than Clinton’s final number among all women (59-31) and among white women (55-38). In the NBC-WSJ poll, Biden’s lead is similarly large, at 58 percent to 35 percent (though numbers for white women are not specifically reported). It’s likely that Trump lost so much ground among white women due to a range of policies, from his treatment of women and children at the border to his incendiary language to his lack of concern for the health of schoolchildren returning in the fall. Trump has lost older voters: Older voters (65 and above) went for Trump in 2016 by nine points. Quinnipiac shows Biden crushing Trump with these voters with a 14-point margin. (The NBC-WSJ poll does not break this group out either.) It was probably bad strategy to threaten to take away Medicaid (via elimination of the Affordable Care Act), which funds nursing home costs, and to be cavalier about older voters’ vulnerability during the pandemic. Because these voters (like women) tend to turn out in greater numbers than other segments of the electorate, this is particularly bad news for Trump, especially in states with large numbers of seniors and surging coronavirus cases (e.g., Florida and Arizona). Trump has lost ground with whites without college degrees: Trump did exceptionally well with this group in 2016, winning by 36 points (64-28). His advantage has deteriorated considerably, leading by just 13 points in the Quinnipiac poll and by 22 points in the NBC-WSJ poll. It may be that many of these voters are now suffering badly due to the economy, they resent him trying to take away health care or they are turned off by Trump’s racist appeals. They may have voted for him because he would shake things up or because they disliked Clinton more or because they thought his skills as a businessman would serve him well. Whatever the explanation, that critical group is falling away from Trump, and hugging the Confederate flag and bullying schools to reopen is not helping. Trump is bombing with independent and swing-state voters: These voters chose Trump in 2016 by a narrow 43-42 margin; Quinnipiac now shows him losing the group 34-51. In swing states, Trump is losing by an even larger margin than his overall national vote (12 points), according to the NBC-WSJ poll. Of the 11 battleground states the NBC-WSJ poll surveyed (Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin), Trump won six in 2016. A 12-point overall deficit in these states suggests he will do much worse in 2020. In sum, the price of appealing so heavily to his far-right, white, evangelical and mostly male base is that Trump has alienated everyone else. Even within core groups, he is not doing as well as he did in 2016. Lo and behold, the NBC-WSJ poll found that 50 percent of all voters say there is no chance they’d vote for him, while 52 percent say they’d be "very uncomfortable.” Biden’s figures are both under 40 percent. If you cannot hold or expand your base and you enrage everyone else, chances are you will lose. https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/07/16/here-are-reasons-trumps-losing-so-badly/ Does she have an article about why you were so wrong about Shrillery losing and youR failed “ Vegas “ odds? Edited July 19, 2020 by Sleepr2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momorider Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 25 minutes ago, DriftBusta said: Jesus I wish some of your clowns would cancel your internet and just log off for good. The dumb is strong. I'mma extend a big double handed middle finger to all you haters on election day, cuz you are whats wrong with the country today, indoctrinated fucking morons. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ez ryder Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 2 hours ago, Mainecat said: The orchestra is playing as you clowns go down with the ship. are the ducks getting lined up? almost 4 years of your this is it and not 1 fucking time have your predictions worked out no matter how many media links you posted to back you up . must be like fucking and never getting to blow a load I can see why you are so frustrated and grasping at any glimmer of hope 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeadoo Posted July 19, 2020 Share Posted July 19, 2020 8 hours ago, 01mxz800 said: you won;t survive his second term Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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