XCR1250 Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 “Ferguson now predicts that the epidemic in the U.K. will peak and subside within ‘two to three weeks’ — last week’s paper said 18+ months of quarantine would be necessary,” the former reporter highlighted. “One last point here: Ferguson gives the lockdown credit, which is *interesting* — the UK only began [its] lockdown 2 days ago, and the theory is that lockdowns take 2 weeks or more to work,” stressed Berenson. “Not surprisingly, this testimony has received no attention in the US — I found it only in UK papers. Team Apocalypse is not interested.” Ferguson’s change of tune comes days after Oxford epidemiologist Sunetra Gupta criticized the professor’s model. “I am surprised that there has been such unqualified acceptance of the Imperial model,” Gupta said, according to the Financial Times. Professor Gupta led a team of researchers at Oxford in a modeling study which suggests that the virus has been invisibly spreading for at least a month earlier than suspected, concluding that as many as half of the people in the United Kingdom have already been infected by COVID-19. If her model is accurate, fewer than one in a thousand who’ve been infected with COVID-19 become sick enough to need hospitalization, leaving the vast majority with mild cases or free of symptoms. In other words, Ferguson’s highly influential initial model was off by orders of magnitude. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AKIQPilot Posted March 26, 2020 Share Posted March 26, 2020 So Gupta says its been invisibly spreading for months and likely half of the Uk is infected. 1 in 1000 virus carriers require hospitalization? I don't buy that for a second. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Platinum Contributing Member Highmark Posted March 26, 2020 Platinum Contributing Member Share Posted March 26, 2020 He should take up climate change modeling. Fit right in. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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