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Interest on the national debt is eating a record 19% of federal revenue

  • Gold Donating Member

According to the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB), interest costs consumed a record 3.25% of GDP and roughly 19% of all federal revenue in fiscal year 2025. If Treasury yields remain elevated at current levels — roughly 55 basis points above Congressional Budget Office projections across the yield curve — interest costs would grow 2.5-fold, climbing from $880 billion today to $2.5 trillion by 2036. That would push debt interest’s share of federal revenue to almost 30% — nearly triple its historical average over the past half-century.

The numbers are staggering in their own right. But CRFB warns the real danger lies in the mechanics behind them. When the average interest rate on the national debt exceeds the economic growth rate — what economists call r>g — debt can begin rising rapidly and uncontrollably. Under the elevated-rate scenario, that gap would reach 75 basis points by 2036, making it increasingly difficult for even responsible fiscal policy to stop the spiral. The combination of high debt levels and a large gap between r and g can lead to a debt spiral — where rising interest costs boost debt, rising debt boosts interest rates, and rising rates boost interest costs further.

By 2027, under the high-rate scenario, interest costs would overtake Medicare spending to become the second-largest government program — eclipsed only by Social Security. By 2036, the government would be spending nearly as much on interest as on Social Security’s entire retirement program.

CRFB’s prescription is blunt: lawmakers must work to bring interest rates down and prevent high rates from crowding out other priorities or sparking a fiscal crisis. The most effective lever, the group argues, is deficit reduction — which can ease near-term inflationary pressure, take downward pressure off long-term yields by reducing economic crowding-out, and shrink the debt stock on which the government pays interest. “With debt approaching record levels,” CRFB writes, “there is little time to lose”.

Fortune
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Interest on the national debt is eating a record 19% of f...

The 30-year Treasury yield just hit its highest point since before the Great Recession. A leading fiscal watchdog warns the timing could not be worse.

@Pete lmao

we all realize the Democrats aren't going to do anything about the debt. the Republicans had an opportunity to do something but blew it and are just allowing more debt to be piled on.

what a shame... news

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  • racer254
    racer254

    I am glad he is complaining about it. Again, for the cheap seats, Trump has pushed tarrifs, pushback from karen, Trump created doge, pushback from karen, Trump is trying to get rid of federal fundin

  • Deephaven
    Deephaven

    The truth is all I need. Sad that you have to live in fantasy land.

  • akvanden
    akvanden

    Good point, I’ll add more. Good news, looks like he’s helping you out with the adove post. 😉

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  • USA Donating Member

After the Obama admin, I see "The CRFB says......" the same way I see, "The UN/NATO/WHO/CDC/FBI/CIA/DOJ/etc... says...."

All have earned the right to just be ignored.

20 minutes ago, Zambroski said:

After the Obama admin, I see "The CRFB says......" the same way I see, "The UN/NATO/WHO/CDC/FBI/CIA/DOJ/etc... says...."

All have earned the right to just be ignored.

Blah fuckin blah fuckin blah.

  • USA Donating Member

Zamala's word salads have earned the right to just be ignored.

  • USA Donating Member
1 minute ago, Mainecat said:

Blah fuckin blah fuckin blah.

Poor baby.

1 minute ago, Deephaven said:

Zamala's word salads have earned the right to just be ignored.

Only by those lacking comprehension skills above the 9th grade. You qualify.

  • USA Donating Member

Projection and false reality noted.

  • USA Donating Member
28 minutes ago, Deephaven said:

Projection and false reality noted.

Whatever makes you feel better about yourself. You have to be pretty good at that by now. lmao

  • USA Donating Member

The truth is all I need. Sad that you have to live in fantasy land.

  • USA Donating Member
25 minutes ago, Deephaven said:

The truth is all I need. Sad that you have to live in fantasy land.

The "truth". As you've been instructed to believe?

-rhetorical

Edited by Zambroski

1 hour ago, Deephaven said:

Zamala's word salads have earned the right to just be ignored.

All with the same purpose

reggie-deflecting-criticism.gif

  • USA Donating Member

It's just nonsensical ramblings from a deranged and devoted sheep.

  • USA Donating Member

lol

It's a whole herd of absolute imbeciles. This may be a great day!

  • Author
  • Gold Donating Member

darn

i forgot that the 'real conservatives' here don't care about the debt...

Sorry Kelsey Grammer GIF by Paramount+

  • USA Donating Member
37 minutes ago, Crnr2Crnr said:

darn

i forgot that the 'real conservatives' here don't care about the debt...

Sorry Kelsey Grammer GIF by Paramount+

Nobody does. It's just political fodder anymore.

  • Author
  • Gold Donating Member
1 hour ago, Zambroski said:

Nobody does. It's just political fodder anymore.

it's currently eating up 19% of your tax dollars

how does that sit with you?

  • USA Donating Member

It's ridiculous. The magas will just state there is nothing we can do....which is funnier than shit since their god promised to greatly reduce it. All of a sudden now that he is raising it they don't care. Waffles!

  • USA Donating Member
2 minutes ago, Crnr2Crnr said:

it's currently eating up 19% of your tax dollars

how does that sit with you?

Not good but, I've learned to laugh at that many years ago. There's reasons for that too.

  • USA Donating Member

Laughing sure helps cure it! So does supporting someone who campaigned on solving it and then does the opposite. BRILLIANT!

11 minutes ago, Zambroski said:

Not good but, I've learned to laugh at that many years ago. There's reasons for that too.

Is that how you run your personal finances? Just run up debt and laugh at it? Live disability cheque to disability cheque and always falling behind? As long as you have internet you're all good amirite?

  • Author
  • Gold Donating Member
15 minutes ago, Zambroski said:

Not good but, I've learned to laugh at that many years ago. There's reasons for that too.

what if they could figure out a way not to put 19% of your tax dollars towards the interest and used it on let's say... roads and bridges!!!

lol

see what I did here?

  • Author
  • Gold Donating Member
20 minutes ago, Deephaven said:

It's ridiculous. The magas will just state there is nothing we can do....which is funnier than shit since their god promised to greatly reduce it. All of a sudden now that he is raising it they don't care. Waffles!

to the fake conservatives credit... they acknowledge the debt even exists but don't want to do anything about it. the liberals don't know, don't care and would probably be thrilled with more of it

Edited by Crnr2Crnr

  • USA Donating Member
8 minutes ago, Captain Catfish said:

Is that how you run your personal finances? Just run up debt and laugh at it? Live disability cheque to disability cheque and always falling behind? As long as you have internet you're all good amirite?

Huh? Stop whining about America. Deal with your absolute mess of a shit nation up there. July is just around the corner....and you're all about to get what you've earned. Elbows up!

4 minutes ago, Crnr2Crnr said:

what if they could figure out a way not to put 19% of your tax dollars towards the interest and used it on let's say... roads and bridges!!!

lol

see what I did here?

Hypotheticals are fun! Let's take a good look at the social welfare arena too!

  • Author
  • Gold Donating Member
2 minutes ago, Zambroski said:

Huh? Stop whining about America. Deal with your absolute mess of a shit nation up there. July is just around the corner....and you're all about to get what you've earned. Elbows up!

Hypotheticals are fun! Let's take a good look at the social welfare arena too!

how about 6% to roads and bridges, 12% to the social security and Medicare trust funds ... and 1% to me cuz it's my idea. lol

  • USA Donating Member
Just now, Crnr2Crnr said:

how about 6% to roads and bridges, 12% to the social security and Medicare trust funds ... and 1% to me cuz it's my idea. lol

No.

  • Author
  • Gold Donating Member
Just now, Zambroski said:

No.

ok, I was going to buy all my friends new sleds with some of the money but you said NO and ruined it for everyone

great job Brownie thumb

Did the fake conservative karen vote for Scott walker?

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